Bitcoin Volatility Hasn’t Been This Low Since September. A Big Move Is Loading.
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Bitcoin volatility just collapsed to its lowest level since September — and 10 days into the worst month of the year, the seasonal dump still hasn’t shown up. That’s not calm. That’s compression. Today we position into Tuesday’s CPI, the print that decides whether the coil breaks up toward $67K or fails back into the low-$60Ks.
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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 16 years in the markets. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.
This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.
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0:00 Countdown
10:06 Jobs Day open — the Bull Moon signal fired (72K in play)
12:04 The 48-Hour Rule verdict — midband 64,566 holds
13:03 NFP goes NEGATIVE: −23,000 jobs, −103K revisions
14:06 Bitcoin rallies into the worst print of the year (ETF inflows $755M)
15:07 Fed rate odds + the prediction markets
17:42 Oil, the 10-year, and Tuesday’s CPI trap
19:05 LTI macro BUY signal — the history behind it
20:53 The trade: adding to the short strangle (30 contracts)
22:27 Weekly closure levels that matter
25:36 Daily Coinbase DCA
26:39 Super Chats: the exact plan to cover at 66K
45:18 “Did Bitcoin break its 2010 trendline?” — the ONLY bearish signal that matters
47:50 Covering with futures vs spot
52:51 WAT — a 5-year consolidation about to resolve
57:33 Gold: the 200-day magnet at 4,500
59:18 Negative funding at the July low — macro low checklist
1:09:18 More options + psychology content (vote)
1:11:56 “Do we test 63K?” — the weekend map
1:22:43 Options mechanics: covering short puts + settlement styles
1:24:30 The 70K question — a two-week window
1:48:44 Sign-off: the number to beat into the close