Bitcoin Will Give You One More Chance. Here’s Exactly Where.

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Bitcoin tagged $79,511 – up 24% from the floor this channel defended three weeks ago. If you missed it, this video is the map: the exact pullback zones where I’d look for entries, with the data behind each one.

August 19 was only the 4th time in Bitcoin’s history that price closed back above the daily 200 SMA after 7+ months below – the other three were June 2015, April 2019 and January 2023, every one a post-bear reclaim. Prior medians: +14% one month later, +64% at six months. Plus a brand-new stat for short-term traders: the 5 EMA disconnect clock (82% reconnect within 2 closes – never longer than 7 in 14 years), the highest 4-hour RSI in a decade, and the exact dip zone with the level that invalidates the whole idea.

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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing

CHAPTERS
0:00 The dip zone, up front
0:13 Bitcoin is in a whole new universe
0:36 If you missed the rally, today is the map
1:18 A viewer shorted the 200 SMA
1:53 The thread: coil, floor, 64515, the 50-month EMA
3:30 What do you do if you missed it? (the wrong answer)
3:58 The honest answer: uniform, violent retraces
4:34 NEW STUDY: the 4th-ever 200-day reclaim
5:01 What the priors paid: +14% and +64%
5:36 The median path: 110-115K
6:05 THE PULLBACK MAP begins
6:15 Weekly 55 EMA found the high
7:26 2015, 2019, 2022: same first-test rejection
7:58 The 21 EMA retest: 70,500-71,000
8:27 Low 70s is fair game
8:58 Short-term momentum: done. Trend: up.
9:27 4-hour RSI 94: highest in 10 years
13:23 The 5 EMA reconnect clock
15:03 The 3-week cross: only after macro lows
17:17 THE DIP TARGET: 71,000-74,500
18:06 The line that kills it: 69-70K on closes