Bitcoin’s Corrective Setup Into the Fed: The 55 EMA Target, the Overshoot and the Bounce

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Live for the Fed decision: what Bitcoin has done on the 15 hike days since 2018, and the daily 5/21 corrective cross that makes the 55 EMA ($73,135) the target. Then golden cross day 8 against the dispersion of returns from the 11 prior crosses, with the hike and the first reaction captured live on the stream.

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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

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CHAPTERS
0:00 Cold open: the Fed hikes, live
0:10 What Fed hikes have done since 2018
1:22 The FOMC hour: 2.5x the usual volatility
1:48 Hike weeks: down into it, up after
3:17 Ten days after a hike vs a hold
3:46 The corrective setup: 5 EMA under the 21 EMA
4:15 The 55 EMA test: 100 percent, usually by day 10
5:23 The overshoot: 3.8 percent median
6:48 The bounce off the touch: 5.5 percent in 10 days
7:59 The golden cross roadmap: the dispersion of returns
9:32 90 days out 19 percent, 180 days out 35 percent
9:58 Daily stochastic and the ribbons
12:09 The Daily Hundred – Day 38
12:57 The decision, live: the Fed hikes 25 basis points
14:17 After the presser: 75,800 to 75,500 in a tick
15:17 The stats, revisited: up 1.3 percent to Friday
16:06 Right on the golden cross path
17:00 Sign off: where we started