Bitcoin’s Weekly Bullish Engulfing at 86K: What the Next 10 Weeks Usually Look Like

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Bitcoin printed a weekly bullish engulfing, sits at 86K on golden cross day 13, and its weekly stochastic is about to cross 80 for the first time in a year.
Today: what the six weekly engulfings by this exact definition did over the next 1 to 10 weeks, the 19 first moves into 80 on the weekly stochastic, the golden cross dispersion roadmap at day 13, and the silver cross tell at day 31.

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#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #GoldenCross

CHAPTERS
0:00 Countdown: 81K on quad witching
9:38 We are live: Bitcoin back at 81,000
11:38 Why a green September matters for Q4
15:38 LTI: the first strong buy comes 20 percent off the low
16:39 Stats and probabilities: the failure point moves to 75,000
17:19 Bitcoin: the weekly bullish engulfing at 80,800
18:32 The weekly trending lower high: 82,814
19:27 Why a weekly reversal matters: multi-year trends
20:37 The study docs
20:54 The daily stochastic turn, the 5-day still down
21:42 Plus 3.6 percent in 5 days, 75 percent of the time
22:41 Golden cross dispersion of returns: day 10
24:01 Day 60 plus 20 percent; the 55 test is deferred
24:31 90 days plus 25, 180 days plus 54: 120,000
25:06 The silver cross: 21 EMA over 55 EMA, plus 52 percent
25:47 For this to fail: back under 73,000
26:21 Green September: above 78,600
26:58 Green Septembers: Q4 plus 52 percent, 83 percent of the time
28:02 Medians, not promises
28:45 The Daily Hundred – Day 38
29:22 Kalshi: 75 percent above 82,500 by month end
30:38 Super Chats
32:38 Bullish engulfing on the majors; ETH
34:38 ETH/BTC to 3.4
35:38 Close above 146.50
36:38 Pending reversals under the 200 SMA
38:38 Halfway targets
39:38 Google: higher low, hidden bullish divergence
41:38 The shitcoin that needs to close above 4
42:38 Family, safety and ownership
43:38 Spot core holdings: a few trades a year
44:38 390 to 420
45:11 The 55 test: reactive, not predictive
47:38 SMCI daily
48:38 Bearish only under 35.37
49:38 The range: 78,000 to the highs
51:38 Dead weight in the short term
52:38 My market-maker price model
54:38 ZEC vs ETH
55:38 ZEC hit the target perfectly
57:38 Swanee and Colorado
58:38 A backtested strategy is all you need
1:00:38 NTRI
1:01:38 Spikes over the weekend
1:02:38 TA 101 is free
1:03:38 Buy and hold in a debt-based society
1:04:38 Monero to 600
1:06:38 Above 520 by end of September
1:08:38 Popcorn rallies
1:09:38 155 to 160 is the real breakout
1:11:38 A weekly bullish engulfing candidate
1:12:38 88.50 or 89.50
1:13:38 Fibonacci 0.382
1:14:38 No big retracement expected
1:16:38 SOX and SOXS
1:17:38 Reversal confirmation on the lows
1:18:38 Down at 26 dollars
1:19:38 Two more indicators in the works
1:20:38 The atrocious Q2 candle
1:22:38 End of month guides Q4
1:23:38 Long-term breakout, short-term sideways
1:24:38 LIT
1:27:38 BBWP at the 90th percentile
1:29:38 Reclaim 137 weekly for 160
1:30:38 Redwire
1:31:38 Bearish engulfing under 11.14
1:32:38 A corrective setup on the daily
1:33:38 Grandma bought Bitcoin at 98
1:34:38 Rip or dip
1:36:38 RSI divergence settings
1:37:38 Coinbase: core position, 200 to 220
1:39:38 This week’s low at 123
1:41:38 VCYT
1:42:38 Where the stop loss goes
1:44:38 The Supernova
1:45:38 DG on Euronext
1:46:38 Retests take time
1:47:38 Quarterly bearish divergences
1:48:38 Back toward 4,500
1:49:38 The next macro high
1:50:38 Back above 558, traded 600
1:51:38 Correction over above 110
1:52:41 ARB vs ETH
1:53:11 Sign off: Monday, Wednesday, Friday