Bitcoin Just Hit Its Correction Target. Here’s the Next 10 Days

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Bitcoin hit its corrective target this morning: $79,709 against the daily 55 EMA at $79,762. Held 10-day reconnects were green 62% of the time 10 days later.

Also inside: the 10-day stochastic crossing 80 (19 cases, 79% green a month later), golden cross day 37 on the roadmap, the short-term invalidations at $81,500 and $80,000, Kalshi’s Fed odds after CPI and PPI, and traditional markets.

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Educational content only. Not financial advice. No personalized recommendations. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #Kalshi

CHAPTERS
0:00 Bitcoin Hit Its Corrective Target
0:18 Today: The Next 10 to 30 Days
0:28 The Daily 55 EMA: Hit on the PPI Print
1:10 What Follows a 55 Touch
1:28 Next Day: Green 70% of the Time
2:04 Friday’s Close: $82,000 to $83,000?
2:29 5, 10 and 20 Days Out
3:20 The Weekly 5 EMA: Still Trending
3:36 The 10-Day Reconnect With the 5 EMA
3:54 Free: TA 101 and Options 101
4:04 The Definition: Disconnect, Then Reconnect
4:21 Official on Saturday’s Close
4:37 10 Days Later: 62% Green, +4.8% Since 2018
5:18 +5% = Back to the Rally High
5:29 30 Days Out: The Edge Fades
6:01 The 10-Day Stochastic: Over 80 Again
6:49 Green 79% / 89% / 95% at 1 / 2 / 3 Months
7:09 I Bet on the Higher Probability
7:20 The Median Month: +18%, +14.5% Since 2018
7:43 The Trading Bible: Code LIFETIME
8:12 +14.5% = $93,000 to $95,000
8:41 Golden Cross: Day 37
9:08 The Dispersion Roadmap
9:45 Day 40 Is Sunday: The Leg Up
10:20 All the Setups Line Up
10:43 Days 42 to 50: About +20%
11:37 Short Term: Where I Change My Mind
11:47 The 2-Day 200 SMA at $81,500
12:50 Downside Targets: $77,500 and $75,000
13:24 The Low Should Be Today’s Low
13:39 IBIT: Hidden Bullish Divergence
14:25 12-Hour: Bullish Divergence, Higher Low $80,000
14:48 Not Out of the Woods Until $84,150
15:18 Kalshi: The Fed After CPI and PPI
15:58 Fed Hold Back to 72c
16:32 No Hike, No Cut
16:43 Kalshi: Trade $50, Up to $500 Credit
17:09 October Above $87,500: 43c
18:06 The Daily Hundred · Day 58
18:23 Coinbase: 80% Off Spot Fees
18:42 Coinbase: Stock Options Now, Bitcoin Options Next
19:09 Traditional Markets: SPY
19:56 NASDAQ: 29,500 Target
20:36 The Macro Picture: A Swing High Before Year-End
21:36 Sign-Off