Bitcoin: Does Election Day Matter? 71% Green Within 30 Days

This post was originally published on this site

Question of the day: do US elections actually move Bitcoin? A little. The October low ($76,195) decides November, and it was tested today.
Inside: all seven US election days since 2012, the one November rule, the 5-day silver cross day-5 low, my two lines ($78,800 and $80,338), and my put/call signal.

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#Bitcoin #BTC #Election #CryptoTrading

CHAPTERS
0:00 Question of the Day: Do Elections Move Bitcoin?
0:38 Every US Election Since 2012
1:04 Election Day Itself: Green 6 of 7
2:08 Presidential Years: Green at 10, 20, 30 Days
2:40 +1.4% Today = the Daily 5 EMA
3:29 My Line in the Sand: $75,000
4:25 The One November Rule: the October Low
5:12 The October Low $76,195 vs Today’s Low
5:37 If It Breaks: $65,000-66,000
6:31 Bullish Divergence: the Daily and 12-Hour
6:55 The Long-Term Cloud: 200 SMA and 377 EMA
7:58 The 5-Day Silver Cross
8:40 Every Silver Cross Since 2012
9:50 Day 5 Was the Low So Far: -5.73%
10:49 The Roadmap: +10.7% by Day 30
11:19 The 21 EMA Target
11:52 The Daily Stochastic Over $77,300
12:21 The Counterpoint: a Daily Silver Cross Down
12:37 My Line: a Daily Close Over $78,800
13:03 By the Book: the Revin Ribbons Mid Band $80,338
13:39 Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish
14:04 My Put/Call Signal: Where the Low Is
14:14 The Cyan Triangles
15:28 Even the Failures Ran +4% to +7%
16:00 What It Tells Me: Not Much Below September
16:41 Kalshi: the Midterm Markets
17:54 The Daily Hundred · Day 75
18:17 Green Today; the Next Five Days Decide

DISCLOSURES
General market commentary and education, published to the public on a regular schedule and not tailored to anyone. Nothing here is a recommendation that you buy, sell, hold or size any security, commodity, contract or digital asset. I am not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer or commodity trading advisor, and I am not registered with the SEC, any state securities regulator, the CFTC or the NFA. Viewer charts discussed on stream are discussed as charts of the asset, not as advice about anyone’s position; Super Chats and memberships support the channel and a place in the queue, they do not buy advice. I may hold positions in assets discussed and may trade them at any time without notice; where I know I hold something, I say so. Trading and investing carry substantial risk of loss, including loss of all capital; options, futures, perpetuals, leveraged products and event contracts can lose more than the amount invested. Statistics, backtests, paper trades and model outputs are hypothetical, have inherent limitations and do not predict future results. Results and testimonials, where mentioned, are individual experiences and are not typical. Some links are affiliate or referral links; I may earn a commission or credit if you use them, at no extra cost to you. Nothing here is an offer or solicitation where unlawful; do not use any platform that is not available to residents of your region. Consult a licensed professional about your own situation before acting.