Bitcoin: Did the Election Mark the Low? $81,900 Decides Next Week

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Question of the day: did the election just mark the low? Bitcoin swept the October low to $75,649 and ripped 7% in one session; the close decides.
A daily close above $80,000 keeps the reversal alive, $81,900 ends the daily downtrend; inside: the stat against it (no green November after breaking the October low, 0 of 5), the worst Washington combination for stocks (we just got it), the two-day at $80,369, the 5-day silver cross closing Friday at $80,450, Kalshi’s November ladder, the next 10 days, and what happens if the closes fail.

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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing

CHAPTERS
0:00 Question of the day: did the election just mark the low?
0:37 Under the October low, but the short-term signals say rally
1:32 Who holds Washington: Detrick’s table, and the worst combination
2:55 The charts: daily, 6h, 12h and 4h bullish divergence confirmed
3:43 Above $80,000: every moving average, no silver cross down
4:26 The stat: no green November after breaking the October low
4:53 Still a lower high until $81,900; my line stays $75,000
5:43 The Daily Hundred: $100 of Bitcoin on Coinbase
6:08 Two-day: a bear trap if it closes above $80,369
6:50 A daily close above $81,900 flips my short-term bias
7:42 The 5-day silver cross: the biggest signal, closes Friday at $80,450
9:05 Stochastic momentum turns, first since September
9:45 A range play: the range low is in, not a breakout
10:42 Reverend Ribbons: reclaim $80,000, target $83,000 to $83,400
11:19 Kalshi: $82,500 at 79c, $85,000 at 57c, under $75,000 at 49c
13:27 The golden cross roadmap: day 57, +2.3% vs a +20% median
14:09 Every November under the October low, chart by chart
16:41 A red October with a green November? Once, 2014
17:15 The next 10 days: up, $83,000 to $84,000 if the Nov 4 close holds $80,000
18:09 The S&P correction already happened; 7,819.5 is the reclaim
19:17 If the closes fail: below $70,000, an ugly two to four months
19:56 The short-term outlook: a close above $80,000, $81,900 ends the downtrend
20:52 Two-day $80,350, three-day Thursday, five-day Friday

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