Bitcoin in the Week Before the Fed: 71 Decisions, No Edge
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📅 Recorded Monday, October 19, 2026 (from that day’s livestream). Prices and levels are as of that date.
FOMC decides October 28. Across 71 decisions since 2018 the seven days into the meeting were green 54% of the time with a median near zero, the decision day out-ranges a normal day but closes as a coin flip, and the hold cohort leans green ten days after. Nothing to trade into Wednesday; the range is the base case.
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