Bitcoin: The Dip Is Here. $82,500 Decides the Next 10 Days

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Bitcoin dropped 3% into the dip the overbought weekly promised, and the 12H corrective setup that fires tonight says +3% in 10 days (77 cases, 65% green).
The line is the 55 EMA at $82,500. Also inside: why bull markets do not give big pullbacks (worst case $79,000), golden cross day 29 on the dispersion map with the step-up at day 40, the $85,000 Kalshi bet for Friday, and the Daily Hundred.

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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk β€” the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing

CHAPTERS
0:00 Cold open: the dip the table promised
0:37 The corrective setups are firing: an opportunity, not ‘it’s over’
1:09 72 to 74K? Bull markets do not give big pullbacks
2:03 2018 to 2019: the picture-perfect weekly 55 EMA
2:29 10% = $78,000 is the worst case; $75,000 is not a good sign
3:06 The weekly 5 EMA reconnect; the 6H setup fulfilled
3:59 The 12H corrective setup fires tonight: the 55 EMA at $82,500
4:38 The daily 55 EMA at $79,000: the lowest target
5:19 n=77: 65% green and +3% in 10 days = $85,000
6:24 Kalshi: $85,000 by Friday at 24c, a $10 bet
7:06 The partner link and the October sale (code LIFETIME)
7:46 Golden cross day 29: the dispersion map
8:31 Returns are mean-reverting
9:32 Day 40 is the step-up: from 3% to 20%
10:13 Bullish above $82,500; $80,000 and $79,000 below it
11:08 The higher timeframes: bullish engulfings and the weekly reclaim
11:56 Hidden bullish divergence potential on the 12H
12:57 The Daily Hundred on Coinbase
13:34 Sign-off: live again Friday