Bitcoin’s October Setup: 10 of 14 Green, $94,000 Within 30 Days

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October closed green 10 of 14 years, +13% median: ~$94,000 by Halloween. Tonight’s line is $82,666. Plus a 3-month candle Bitcoin has never printed.

Also inside: the 6-hour pullback setup and its target, what a green September and a green August did to October, the crowd’s odds on Kalshi (the October Fed hike fell from 71% to 53% in a day), the TradingView fee announcement, and the map through October 31.

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Educational content only. Not financial advice. No personalized recommendations. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #Kalshi

CHAPTERS
0:00 The One Line That Matters
0:18 The 2-Day 200 SMA: Every Regime Since 2015
2:25 The 6H Setup: The 55 Is the Target
3:18 72% Hit Inside 4 Bars
4:00 Hold = No Close 1% Under: $81,850
4:35 If It Holds: +0.8% in 24H, 78% Green
5:21 The Line in the Sand: $80,000
5:45 TradingView May Charge $30 Per User
7:04 Kalshi: The Fed Odds Just Fell
8:25 $70,000 or $100,000 First?
9:11 My Call: $90,000 in October or November
9:33 October: 10 of 14 Green
10:04 The Caveat: n=14
11:00 After a Green September: Q4 +52%
11:43 After a Green August: +40%
12:39 After a Green Q3: +19.6%
13:50 The 3-Month Candle: First Ever
14:49 The Nearest Sample: 5 Cases
15:50 Two Red at One Quarter, All Five Higher a Year On
16:17 Early Trend Transition, Like 2019 and 2023
16:57 The Daily Hundred – Day 44
17:33 Kalshi: The Bitcoin Markets
17:52 My $25 Bet: $100K Before December
18:29 The Close: Tonight and Tomorrow