Bitcoin’s ‘Worst Month’ Is a Myth. 15 Years of September Data Prove It.

This post was originally published on this site

Everyone calls September Bitcoin’s worst month. 15 years of data say the story is mostly two ancient candles – and the real worst month of the Bitcoin year just finished up 25%.

In this video: September’s actual median (-3.2%, only 3rd worst), what happens when you strip the 2011/2014 outliers, three green Septembers in a row, the September Split study (median dip -8.5% into a mid-month low, then +6.5% back), the honest warning – after an August up 10% or more, September has never closed green – and the payoff: buying the September low has returned a median +33.6% by December 31. Plus the quad-witching calendar, the 5 EMA disconnect record, and the 2018 rhyme I’m watching into mid-September.

⬛ Build Your Own AI Trading Agent For FREE — Full Tutorial
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/cpro

📗 FREE: My Complete TA Ultimate Beginners Program
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/ta101

🟪 Unlock My Indicators & Programs
→ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/

🔵 COINBASE: $250 Deposit Bonus + 80% Trading Fee Reduction
→ https://coinbase.com/aff/krown

▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

🟧 Trade on ByBit (Inverse Perps & High Liquidity)
→ https://partner.bybit.com/b/Cave

⬛ BloFin (No KYC + 15% Discount)
→ https://partner.blofin.com/d/Reduction

⚡ META SIGNALS — Code KROWN for 10% Off
→ https://metasignals.io/nft

▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

🏔️ Join the Cave (Discord)
→ https://discord.gg/3PJDRbYw44

▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing

CHAPTERS
0:00 Cold open: two ancient candles
0:52 Boring is the plan: the 76K floor
1:44 Broken cycle rules and the macro low
2:53 The monthly close: the final nail
3:28 September, dissected: only the 3rd-worst month
4:34 Strip the outliers: a coin flip
5:35 Three green Septembers in a row
6:26 The split: dip 8.5%, recover 6.5%
6:53 Quad witching: the mid-month pivot
8:58 The median dip lands at 72K
10:21 The warning: big Augusts get taxed
11:45 The payoff: Sep low to Dec 31, +33.6% median
12:25 October: the best month on the board
12:58 Green Q3, and what Q4 has paid
13:57 A historic close, five days out
14:47 The short-term map: the 77K magnet
15:35 The 5 EMA disconnect: the 7-day record
17:13 The 77,500 pivot
18:24 The 2018 rhyme: wedge until mid-September
19:52 An option seller’s month
20:29 One last stat: the Aug plus Sep combo