Every Bitcoin Timeframe Just Turned Up at Once. That’s Happened Before.

This post was originally published on this site

Bitcoin traded through the 50-month EMA near $65,600 – the one line it has never closed a month above in its entire history – plus the $66,200 band target, tagging $69,577. And seven of eight higher-timeframe momentum engines turned up together, with the biweekly and monthly turning fresh from oversold.

That exact alignment has fired 88 times since 2013: median +25.5% three months later, 72% win rate, against a +6.2% baseline. But here’s why I’m still not calling the low – all five prior rejections at that EMA also traded above it intraday first. Being above it isn’t the rare event. CLOSING a month above it is. August 31 decides.

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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

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Plus my new position on the move, and the viewer who copied my strangle and got run over – which turns into the single most important question in options trading.

CHAPTERS
0:00 The signal that just fired
0:14 Bitcoin is doing exactly what it means to
0:54 This is the move we’ve been preparing for
1:08 The validation that still matters: the monthly close
3:13 Every timeframe now points the same way
3:28 What the alignment pays: 25.5% median, 72% win rate
6:04 Median vs average – and the $100,000 version
7:19 Bitcoin is above everything on the map
7:57 The blue box target: ~70,000
8:08 New signal: 3-week RSI bullish divergence
8:56 The targets: 55 EMA 72,850, 21 EMA 78,500
10:55 The signal that only fires AFTER macro lows
11:29 My position: short 30 puts
12:23 Sold 30 at $500 – $15,000 in premium
12:49 Already up ~$10,000
15:02 A viewer copied my strangle and got run over
17:02 The only question that matters: what if I’m wrong?