Everyone Sees Bitcoin’s Head and Shoulders. I Measured All 13 Since 2011.

This post was originally published on this site

Everyone is drawing a head and shoulders on Bitcoin. I measured every one since 2011: a coin flip — and their target lands exactly where I want to buy.

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ABOUT THIS STREAM
In this stream: the September roadmap, dated and priced off tonight’s monthly close – the first monthly close above the 50-month EMA in Bitcoin’s history if it holds. I stacked all six green Septembers into one composite path and pinned it at $78,000: a shallow dip into a $74,557-$75,257 buy window in the first four sessions (my short $74,000 puts expire that exact day), a grind to a day-19 peak at $83,222, the quad-witching air pocket on September 18 – the only post-quad week of the year that bleeds, -2.4% median and green once in eight years since CME futures – then a +6.0% close at $82,649. From there the chain: October’s +12.8% median points at $93,228 and the green-Q3-to-Q4 median of +27.9% points at $105,708 by year-end, with the September-low route agreeing at $100,544. Four falsifiable checkpoints, the red-ghost alternative at -11.8%, and the $69,498 abandon line no green September ever survived. Live Bitcoin price analysis and technical analysis, every number radar-verified before air.

ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

#Bitcoin #September #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis

CHAPTERS
0:00 Countdown
10:05 We are back: monthly close tonight
11:50 Birthday sale: 20% off with code OLDER
12:16 The green September schedule
13:05 Six green Septembers, one composite roadmap
13:43 The buy window: 74.5K to 75.5K
14:02 Quad witching lands September 18
15:04 September sets up October
15:24 The roadmap chart, day by day
16:16 Day 19 peak into the quad
16:55 The red ghost: minus 11.8%
17:32 The low window: days 1 through 4
18:22 The 2024 outlier and the abandon line
19:01 My 74K September puts
19:28 Quad witching deep dive: the air pocket
20:46 The final stretch of September
21:18 The back half: pricing the chain
22:10 A September close at 82,649
22:33 October: the best month on the board
23:00 Green Q3 into Q4
23:47 The road back above 100K
24:39 Key dates: FOMC and quad week
25:19 Birthday sale reminder
25:52 The monthly stochastic cross
27:05 Bi-monthly closure and momentum
27:59 The bullish engulfing level
28:29 Hidden bullish divergence
29:07 Fixing Caretakers RSI in TradingView
29:44 Biweekly EMAs: the pullback zones
30:38 HPDR: reclaiming the median
31:58 Ethereum: the stronger chart
33:16 Super chats begin
35:43 Gold and silver
37:59 XRP
48:05 What is a good XRP buyback
51:26 Mark my word: the 50K call
53:03 The 50 week moving average myth
55:48 Unless you are an insider, price is the truth
1:02:23 XMR versus XRP
1:05:07 Aussie dollar reversal
1:11:00 The hoplite helmet and the desk
1:11:32 Solana: the tier list
1:15:09 Indicators: test for an edge
1:18:36 Course talk
1:25:11 Deploying idle capital
1:26:05 Could Bitcoin just shoot to 85K
1:27:28 Why I hate real estate
1:34:57 Taxes, Europe, and culture talk
1:52:08 Zeta and an all caps warning
1:54:12 VWRA: the all world ETF
1:57:04 Bitcoin holding near 79K
2:03:04 Wrapping up
2:04:09 The daily note