Is Bitcoin Putting In Its Next Major Low? Here’s My Signal

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Question of the day: is Bitcoin putting in its next major low? My put/call signal fired last week, the silver cross needs $79,200 tonight, and my line stays $79,700.

Also inside: a viewer’s 13/34 EMA cross with the 89 as the target, the 2-day cross under $81,000, the two lines that matter ($79,700 and $75,000), the full moon window, and the Fed on Kalshi.

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#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #FOMC

CHAPTERS
0:00 Question of the Day: Is Bitcoin Putting In Its Next Major Low?
0:26 The Red Lines: One Signal, 2020 to Now
1:01 June 2026: The Signal at the Low
1:41 December 2025: +11% the Next Month
2:19 July 2024 and December 2023
3:13 The Biggest Failure: +7%, Then Lower
3:54 $49,000 to $59,500 in Two Weeks
4:16 What the Signal Is: My Put/Call Ratio
4:38 Why I Can’t Release It Yet
5:18 When the Crowd Is Overweight Puts
5:42 Worst Case: +4% to $83,250
6:11 Tonight’s 5-Day Close: The Silver Cross
6:25 The Line: $79,200
6:47 Every 5-Day Silver Cross Since 2012
7:57 The Roadmap: 83% Green a Month Later
8:40 My Answer: Still the Upside, But…
8:55 A Viewer’s Setup: The 13/34 Cross
9:40 Target: The 89 EMA
10:28 FOMC Tomorrow: A Wick Down
10:42 The 2-Day Cross: Under $81,000 Tonight
11:23 The Roadmap Was Early: A Counterpoint
11:53 My Line: $79,700 on a Daily Close
12:26 The Nail: $75,000
12:45 Test, Test, Test, Then It Runs
13:25 The 2-Day: Hidden Bullish Divergence?
13:55 Saving the Best for Last
14:11 The Moon: 13 of 16
14:46 How I Measure the Window
15:39 Three Failures in Sixteen
16:51 13 of 16 Ran. Minimum +3.5%
17:22 The Daily Hundred · Day 70
17:35 Coinbase: Fees, Stocks, Options
18:15 Kalshi: The Fed Decision
18:49 The Heavy Side Always Won
19:14 My Bet: Bitcoin Over $80,500 Today
19:46 My Kalshi Rule: Skip the 15-Minute Markets
20:21 Tomorrow: Live Through the FOMC

DISCLOSURES
General market commentary and education, published to the public on a regular schedule and not tailored to anyone. Nothing here is a recommendation that you buy, sell, hold or size any security, commodity, contract or digital asset. I am not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer or commodity trading advisor, and I am not registered with the SEC, any state securities regulator, the CFTC or the NFA. Viewer charts discussed on stream are discussed as charts of the asset, not as advice about anyone’s position; Super Chats and memberships support the channel and a place in the queue, they do not buy advice. I may hold positions in assets discussed and may trade them at any time without notice; where I know I hold something, I say so. Trading and investing carry substantial risk of loss, including loss of all capital; options, futures, perpetuals, leveraged products and event contracts can lose more than the amount invested. Statistics, backtests, paper trades and model outputs are hypothetical, have inherent limitations and do not predict future results. Results and testimonials, where mentioned, are individual experiences and are not typical. Some links are affiliate or referral links; I may earn a commission or credit if you use them, at no extra cost to you. Nothing here is an offer or solicitation where unlawful; do not use any platform that is not available to residents of your region. Consult a licensed professional about your own situation before acting.