The Market Is Pricing a Fed Hike Next Week. I’m Betting on a Hold.

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📅 Recorded Wednesday, September 9, 2026 (from that day’s livestream). Prices and levels are as of that date.

Prediction markets lean toward a September 16 hike. My read: Kevin Warsh was not put at the Fed to raise rates. Small-dollar, well-defined risk – fun money, not the book.

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