The Worst-Feeling Buys Make the Most Money. I Have 26 Years of Proof.

This post was originally published on this site

Dollar cost averaging vs buying the 200-week moving average β€” backtested on 26 years of real data across SPY, QQQ, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Bitcoin.
A former NYSE ARCA market maker runs all three strategies β€” including the combination almost nobody teaches β€” and shows where each one wins, loses, and pays.
The complete FREE Long Term Investing program: https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/kulti

πŸŸͺ The LTI Indicator β€” the sharper line (built with pesto)
β†’ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/longterminvestortool

⬛ Central Command β€” free charting & agent platform
β†’ https://centralcommand.io

πŸ“— FREE: My Complete TA Ultimate Beginners Program
β†’ https://krown-trading.teachable.com/p/ta101

πŸ”΅ COINBASE: $250 Deposit Bonus + 80% Trading Fee Reduction
β†’ https://coinbase.com/aff/krown

β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬

πŸ”οΈ Join the Cave (Discord)
β†’ https://discord.gg/3PJDRbYw44

β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬β–¬

Every touch of the 200-week line since 1996 β€” 80 of them β€” with what happened 1, 2 and 3 years later. $100 a week into Bitcoin for 10 years: $52K in, $547K out. Why the famous Vanguard lump-sum study is true and still doesn’t apply to your paycheck. Where the strategy actually LOST (Microsoft’s dead decade), and the one rule that decides whether the 5x buy helps or hurts. As of recording, one of the six assets is sitting exactly on its 200-week line.

Backtest method: weekly closes, split-adjusted, dividends not modeled; sources Yahoo Finance and Bitstamp; computed 2026-08-15. Every number in this video is generated from that dataset β€” nothing is estimated from memory.

ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 15+ years of experience. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk β€” the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region. No personalized recommendations.

πŸ”” Subscribe free β€” the next one finds you: https://www.youtube.com/@ECKrown?sub_confirmation=1

#investing #DCA #Bitcoin

CHAPTERS
0:00 The $547K cold open
0:10 Why boring beats brilliant
3:49 Strategy 1: the 200-week line
10:39 Live chart: Bitcoin and the line
11:16 2018: wick vs close
12:56 The 26-year scorecard
16:00 Strategy 2: $100 a week
18:55 The $547K table and the lump-sum objection
21:04 Buying through 2022
23:11 Which assets deserve DCA
26:35 Strategy 3: the 5x rule
27:25 The combo scorecard
28:20 Where the 5x fails
30:20 The surprise: it must be NEW money
32:05 Where all six sit today
34:12 The playbook: the sharper line
38:29 Which strategy is yours
40:51 The honest caveats
42:03 The other half