Waiting for the Bitcoin Dip Is a Coin Flip. Here’s What Each Side Actually Pays

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I found every time Bitcoin ran more than 20% in seven sessions – 60 of them since 2011 – and measured what waiting for a 5% dip actually paid.

30 out of 60 times the dip filled and you saved about 5%. The other 30 times it never came, and the median chase was 23.5% higher than where you were standing. The worst was three and a half times that.

Heads saves you five. Tails costs you twenty-three.

Full breakdown – 1,600 backtests, 15 years:

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#Shorts #Bitcoin #BTC